{"id":83823,"date":"2023-10-10T12:50:09","date_gmt":"2023-10-10T16:50:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.carilec.org\/?p=83823"},"modified":"2023-10-10T12:50:09","modified_gmt":"2023-10-10T16:50:09","slug":"climate-crisis-costing-16m-an-hour-in-extreme-weather-damage-study-estimates","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/carilec.org\/climate-crisis-costing-16m-an-hour-in-extreme-weather-damage-study-estimates\/","title":{"rendered":"Climate crisis costing $16m an hour in extreme weather damage, study estimates"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Analysis shows at least $2.8tn in damage from 2000 to 2019 through worsened storms, floods and heatwaves<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p class=\"dcr-1kas69x\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">The damage caused by the climate crisis through extreme weather has cost $16m (\u00a313m) an hour for the past 20 years, according to a new estimate.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1kas69x\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Storms, floods, heatwaves and droughts have taken many lives and destroyed swathes of property in recent decades, with global heating making the events more frequent and intense. The study is the first to calculate a global figure for the increased costs directly attributable to human-caused\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/commentisfree\/2023\/oct\/05\/global-heating-weather-temperatures-climate-impact\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">global heating.<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1kas69x\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">It found average costs of $140bn (\u00a3115bn) a year from 2000 to 2019, although the figure varies significantly from year to year. The latest data shows $280bn in costs in 2022. The researchers said lack of data, particularly in low-income countries, meant the figures were likely to be seriously underestimated. Additional climate costs, such as from crop yield declines and sea level rise, were also not included.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1kas69x\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">The researchers produced the estimates by combining data on how much global heating worsened extreme weather events with economic data on losses. The study also found that the number of people affected by extreme weather because of the climate crisis was 1.2 billion over two decades.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1kas69x\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Two-thirds of the damage costs were due to the lives lost, while a third was due to property and other assets being destroyed. Storms, such as\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2018\/oct\/15\/us-year-of-hurricanes-extreme-michael-irma-florence\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">Hurricane Harvey<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/global-development-professionals-network\/2013\/jul\/16\/cyclone-nargis-burma-disaster-relief-aid\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">Cyclone Nargis<\/a>, were responsible for two-thirds of the climate costs, with 16% from heatwaves and 10% from floods and droughts.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_83830\" style=\"width: 610px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-83830\" class=\"wp-image-83830\" src=\"https:\/\/www.carilec.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Guardian2-300x179.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"358\" srcset=\"https:\/\/carilec.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Guardian2-300x179.png 300w, https:\/\/carilec.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Guardian2-768x458.png 768w, https:\/\/carilec.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Guardian2-600x358.png 600w, https:\/\/carilec.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Guardian2.png 771w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-83830\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">People wait to be rescued from their home in Houston, Texas, after the area was flooded by Hurricane Harvey in August 2017. Storms areresponsible for two-thirds of the climate costs. Photograph: Joe Raedle\/Getty Images<\/p><\/div>\n<p class=\"dcr-1kas69x\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">The researchers said their methods could be used to calculate how much funding was needed for a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2022\/nov\/20\/cop27-agrees-to-historic-loss-and-damage-fund-to-compensate-developing-countries-for-climate-impacts\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">loss and damage fund<\/a>\u00a0established at the UN\u2019s climate summit in 2022, which is intended to pay for the recovery from extreme weather disasters in poorer countries. It could also rapidly determine the specific climate cost of individual disasters, enabling faster delivery of funds.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1kas69x\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cThe headline number is $140bn a year and, first of all, that\u2019s already a big number,\u201d said Prof Ilan Noy, at the Victoria University of Wellington in New Zealand, who carried out the study with colleague Rebecca Newman. \u201cSecond, when you compare it to the standard quantification of the cost of climate change [using computer models], it seems those quantifications are underestimating the impact of climate change.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1kas69x\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Noy said there were a lot of extreme weather events for which there was no data on numbers of people killed or economic damage: \u201cThat indicates our headline number of $140bn is a significant understatement.\u201d For example, he said, heatwave death data was only available in Europe. \u201cWe have no idea how many people died from heatwaves in all of sub-Saharan Africa.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Extreme weather: glacial flooding, wildfires and hailstorms cause havoc across the world\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/NyNIvHl1050?feature=oembed&amp;wmode=opaque\"  allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">There has been a sevenfold increase in reported losses from extreme weather disasters since the 1970s, according the World Meteorological Organization. However, separating the effect of global heating from population growth, urban migration and better reporting of disasters is difficult.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1kas69x\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">The study,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41467-023-41888-1\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">published in the journal Nature Communications<\/a>, took a different approach based on how climate change had exacerbated the extreme weather events.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2022\/aug\/04\/climate-breakdown-supercharging-extreme-weather\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">Hundreds of \u201cattribution\u201d studies<\/a>\u00a0have been done, calculating how much more frequent global heating made extreme weather events. This allows the fraction of the damages resulting from human-caused heating to be estimated.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1kas69x\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">The researchers applied these fractions to the damages recorded in the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.emdat.be\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">International Disaster Database<\/a>, which compiles available data on all disasters in which 10 people died, or 100 were affected, or the country declared a state of emergency or requested international assistance.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1kas69x\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">The central estimate was an average climate cost of $140bn a year, with a range from $60bn to $230bn. These estimates are much higher than those from computer models, which are based on changes in average global temperature rather than on the extreme temperatures increasingly being seen in the world.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1kas69x\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">The years with the highest overall climate costs were 2003, when a heatwave struck Europe; 2008, when Cyclone Nargis hit Myanmar; and 2010, when drought hit Somalia and a heatwave hit Russia. Property damages were higher in 2005 and 2017 when hurricanes hit the US, where property values are high.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The analysis used a statistical value of a life lost of $7m, an average of the figures used by the US and UK governments. \u201cA lot of people are very uncomfortable with the idea that we put a price tag on a life,\u201d said Noy. \u201cBut this is very standard economic practice and comes about because, ultimately, we need make decisions about [the value of] investments in various things.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Surviving infernos and floods: life on the frontline of the climate crisis\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/wGvvZdzkwt4?feature=oembed&amp;wmode=opaque\"  allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1kas69x\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Noy said that only considering the economic damage caused to infrastructure would heavily skew the cost estimates to rich countries, despite much of the damage from extreme weather hitting poorer ones. He contrasted the $140bn damage estimate with the $100bn promised by rich countries to poorer ones, but yet to be delivered in full, and noted that 90% of that money was for cutting emissions. The figures also contrast with the subsidies of $7tn a year enjoyed by the fossil fuel industry.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1kas69x\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">At the UN climate summit Cop27 in 2022, countries agreed to set up a loss and damage fund to help poorer ones rebuild after climate-related disasters. \u201cYou can use our methodology to start putting numbers on how much money we need in the fund,\u201d Noy said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1kas69x\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Ideally, he said, a quick attribution study on an extreme weather event would estimate the climate-related damage and lead to a rapid delivery of funds: \u201cIt would be a kind of insurance scheme for countries.\u201d The methodology might also be useful for determining damages in climate lawsuits, he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1kas69x\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Dr St\u00e9phane Hallegatte, at the World Bank and not part of the study team, said: \u201cThe key message is that climate change is visibly increasing global economic losses from disasters. This has been a topic of controversy, with some claiming that climate change effects are negligible compared with other factors like economic growth and urbanisation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1kas69x\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u201cThis study looks at the attribution for the physical event \u2013 it\u2019s much simpler, robust, and it provides a convincing case. It is an emerging field and uncertainties are really large. One lesson of the study is that global research centres \u2013 mostly located in rich countries \u2013 need to work more on what is happening in poorer countries.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>SOURCE:<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-83824\" src=\"https:\/\/www.carilec.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/download.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"73\" height=\"54\" \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Click<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2023\/oct\/09\/climate-crisis-cost-extreme-weather-damage-study\"> here<\/a> to view original article.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; Analysis shows at least $2.8tn in damage from 2000 to 2019 through worsened storms, floods and heatwaves The damage [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":165,"featured_media":83828,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-83823","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"featured_image":"https:\/\/carilec.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Guardian1.png","month_date":"Oct","day_date":"10","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/carilec.org\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83823","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/carilec.org\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/carilec.org\/api\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carilec.org\/api\/wp\/v2\/users\/165"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carilec.org\/api\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=83823"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/carilec.org\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83823\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carilec.org\/api\/wp\/v2\/media\/83828"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/carilec.org\/api\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=83823"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carilec.org\/api\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=83823"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/carilec.org\/api\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=83823"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}