Page 38 - CARILEC Electricity Tariff - December 2014
P. 38

Fuel Price
                                                           Hedging       Fuel Supply Logistics And    Fuel Alternatives
         Name of Utility   Impacts Of Fuel Price Volatility
                                                         Initiative(s)          Challenges             And Prospects
                                                           Adopted

           NVGEBE                      -                      -                     -                        -
                                                                        By ship therefore vulnerable to
            SKELEC               Affects Pricing             No                                             No
                                                                                 weather
             TTEC                    None                    No                     -                        -
                             Fuel price volatility affect this
                             utility by decreasing demand
                              for our service.  Customers
                             either reduce consumption or
                                find alternative energy
                              solutions.  Those customers
                            who continue to use our service
                                                                       The fuel is shipped via barging to   LPG, LNG, Solar,
                              either can’t pay or slow pay.
            VIWAPA                                           No        St. Thomas and St. Croix.  There   Wind, Biomass
                                As a result, our account                 are no associated challenges.
                             receivable increases.  Because
                             we are not allowed to pass on
                             the total monthly increases of
                             fuel cost to the customers, our
                             deferred fuel expense continue
                                      to rise.


               Notes Impacts of Fuel Price Volatility
               BEC: The greatest impact relates to the opportunity energy purchased from CFE (Mexico).  Depending on the energy mix for the node supply of the
               intertie, the price of energy varies. This mix typically comprises hydro, natural gas and diesel.  Shortfalls in the supply of natural gas results in price
               hikes and at times the company loses the opportunity energy for purchase.  With CFE typically supplying approximately 40% of annual energy, the
               impact can be in the order of multiples of US$10M.

               Other fossil fuel based generation on the grid are for peaking units.  Therefore, the impact would be at the time of stock replenishment.  However,
               as the production is minimal, the impact of the volatility is insignificant.

               Furthermore, the island of Caye Caulker is isolated from the grid, and uses diesel generation.  There the cost is typically US$0.30/kWh.  This is above
               overall regulated cost approved for the utility, and as such the impact is not only based on the diesel prices, but also on the energy mix for the grid
               supply. However, the load is less than 2% of the total production.

               Notes Hedging:
               BELCO: Heavy Fuel Oil Supply contract includes the option of forward purchasing.  Fuel pricing is closely monitored and normally 30,000 barrel
               parcels and purchased in advance of delivery at a time when prices are favorable.  The overall fuel purchasing strategy is to keep fuel costs steady
               without large fluctuations and generally trending downwards when possible.

               CUC:  In March 2011 the ERA approved the Fuel Price Volatility Management Program. Contracts utilize call spreads to promote transparency in
               pricing.

               GBPC: Financial hedges on future contracts layered at approximately 10% - 20% per layer, with 10% left unhedged.

               LUCELEC: Currently we hedge using swaps for 75% of the estimated consumption on a rolling 12 month period

               Notes Fuel Alternatives & Prospects:
               JPS hired a consultant to review the market opportunity  of these fuel sources and it has been confirmed that these are viable options.  Subsequent
               market information/intelligence has confirmed that  there are opportunities for the supply of these to the Jamaican market









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